Thinking Under Uncertainty, Judgment Russell Pearson Thinking Under Uncertainty, Judgment Russell Pearson

Evaluating Supply Chain Decisions: Balancing Risk and Business Priorities

Student struggle: Students struggle to anticipate how interconnected systems respond to disruptions and to balance competing priorities when recommending solutions.

Thinking practiced: Thinking under uncertainty and judgment through risk analysis, evaluating trade-offs, and making justified recommendations.

Activity: Students examine a fictional custom-computer manufacturer's supply chain, identify operational risks, and recommend improvements while considering business constraints.

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Judgment, Thinking Under Uncertainty Russell Pearson Judgment, Thinking Under Uncertainty Russell Pearson

Does Coffee Improve Exam Scores? Evaluating Causal Claims

Student struggle: Students confuse correlation with causation and may accept conclusions without examining the evidence.

Thinking practiced: Evaluating claims, identifying alternative explanations, and recognizing missing information.

Activity: Students investigate a news-style claim about coffee consumption and exam performance, identify missing evidence, and explain whether the claim is justified.

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